LES vs GRU

PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 7, 2019 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno

Results

LES 52 : 38 GRU
LES
GRU

Heat by heat

Heat 162.22 s3:3
Heat 262.00 s4:2
Heat 362.75 s4:2
Heat 462.59 s4:2
Heat 562.91 s3:3
Heat 661.79 s3:3
Heat 761.25 s3:3
Heat 862.47 s3:3
Heat 962.45 s2:4
Heat 1062.03 s3:3
Heat 1162.50 s4:2
Heat 1262.68 s3:3
Heat 1362.09 s5:1
Heat 1462.50 s3:3
Heat 1562.51 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy → Clear
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
22 → 21 °C
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind
6 km/h SE
gusts up to 13 km/h
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
3.9 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
67 %
Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4159+6−6
5–79900
8–10810−2+2
11–13126+6−6
14–1584+4−4
LESGRULESGRU

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead LES
02468101214115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2+277 %
3+482 %
4+690 %
5+690 %
6+688 %
7+690 %
8+690 %
9+488 %
10+484 %
11+692 %
12+692 %
13+10100 %
14+10100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Piotr Pawlicki510.413+2.6
Janusz Kołodziej58.310+1.7
Antonio Lindbäck55.77+1.3
Emil Sajfutdinow59.811+1.2
Przemysław Pawlicki57.28+0.8
Marcin Turowski31.22+0.8
Kenneth Bjerre69.710+0.3
Brady Kurtz44.24-0.2
Jarosław Hampel45.85-0.8
Dominik Kubera35.04-1.0
Kamil Wieczorek31.10-1.1
Artem Laguta510.29-1.2
Bartosz Smektała47.15-2.1
Krzysztof Buczkowski34.22-2.2

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.9161.25 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 35.7:17.7 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −2.70 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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