GRU vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 2, 2019 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Kenneth Bjerre3 2 3 0 19+1
- 10Antonio Lindbäck2 0 2 0 26+2
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 2 3 212+1
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski3 2 0 16+1
- 13Artem Laguta3 3 3 1 111+1
- 14Kamil Wieczorek1 0 01
- 15Marcin Turowski0 0 00
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow1 W 2 2 1 06+2
- 2Brady Kurtz0 11
- 3Jarosław Hampel0 1 01+1
- 4Janusz Kołodziej1 2 1 2 39+1
- 5Piotr Pawlicki2 1 3 3 3 315
- 6Dominik Kubera3 3 1 2 09+1
- 7Bartosz Smektała2 1 14+2
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU1
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Jarosław Hampel · LES0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1*
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Brady Kurtz · LES1
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1*
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Jarosław Hampel · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1*
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Artem Laguta · GRU1*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 25 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h NW
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GRU | LES | GRU | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 6.5 | 12 | +5.5 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 11.2 | 15 | +3.8 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 3 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Marcin Turowski | 3 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 3 | 4.6 | 1 | -3.6 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 12.8 | 6 | -6.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.