LES vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 26, 2019 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow0 1 3 3 310
- 11Jarosław Hampel2 3 3 1 09+1
- 12Janusz Kołodziej1 2 2 0 16+3
- 13Piotr Pawlicki3 3 3 W 211
- 14Bartosz Smektała2 3 0 0 27
- 15Dominik Kubera1 1 3 0 38
- 1Nicki Pedersen3 1 2 3 2 112
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen1 0 12+1
- 3Patryk Dudek0 1 1 13+2
- 4Martin Vaculik3 2 2 2 2 314
- 5Piotr Protasiewicz2 2 1 1 06+1
- 6Norbert Krakowiak0 0 00
- 7Damian Pawliczak00
- 8Mateusz Tonder2 02
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1*
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1*
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE1
- Jarosław Hampel · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 17 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h SW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LES | ZIE | LES | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 10.1 | 14 | +3.9 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 7.2 | 9 | +1.8 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 2 | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 11.0 | 12 | +1.0 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Damian Pawliczak | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 8.0 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 4 | 6.1 | 3 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.