LUB vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 3, 2019 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Paweł Miesiąc3 1 0 3 2 211+1
- 10Andreas Jonsson0 1 1 13
- 11Dawid Lampart2 0 1 25+1
- 12Robert Lambert0 2 02
- 13Mikkel Michelsen0 3 3 3 1 313
- 14Viktor Trofymov0 11
- 15Wiktor Lampart1 2 2 0 05+1
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow1 3 0 3 18+1
- 2Jaimon Lidsey2 2 1 2 07+1
- 3Brady Kurtz1 2 0 03
- 4Janusz Kołodziej3 D3
- 5Piotr Pawlicki3 3 3 3 113
- 6Dominik Kubera3 2 2 2 110+2
- 7Bartosz Smektała2 1 0 36+1
Heat by heat
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Dawid Lampart · LUB2
- Brady Kurtz · LES1
- Robert Lambert · LUB0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2*
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1
- Dawid Lampart · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Brady Kurtz · LES2
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LESD
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2*
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB1
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB1
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Robert Lambert · LUB2
- Dawid Lampart · LUB1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB1
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Robert Lambert · LUB0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Dawid Lampart · LUB2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 9 → 6 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h W
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 79 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LUB | LES | LUB | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -12 | 6 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -14 | 0 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -10 | 1 % |
| 13 | -12 | 0 % |
| 14 | -14 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 5.1 | 10 | +4.9 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 3.1 | 7 | +3.9 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 10.3 | 13 | +2.7 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 6 | 9.0 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 11.4 | 13 | +1.6 |
| Dawid Lampart | 4 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 2 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 2 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Robert Lambert | 3 | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 5.8 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 4 | 6.2 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 12.4 | 8 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.