LES vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 28, 2019 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow3 2 3 3 314
- 11Brady Kurtz0 2 2 1 27+1
- 12Janusz Kołodziej3 1 1 2 310+3
- 13Piotr Pawlicki0 3 3 3 211+1
- 14Bartosz Smektała0 3 1 1 D5
- 15Dominik Kubera1 1 0 1 14
- 1Szymon Woźniak2 3 0 3 19
- 2Peter Kildemand1 0 2 03+1
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak1 2 2 2 18+1
- 4Anders Thomsen2 0 02
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik2 3 3 1 W9+1
- 6Rafał Karczmarz2 1 2 0 05+1
- 7Mateusz Bartkowiak0 3 03
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Peter Kildemand · GOR1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1*
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Brady Kurtz · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Peter Kildemand · GOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Peter Kildemand · GOR2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Brady Kurtz · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Peter Kildemand · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2*
- Brady Kurtz · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LESD
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Brady Kurtz · LES2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 13 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 21 km/h W
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 60 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| LES | GOR | LES | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.0 | 14 | +4.0 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.0 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 5 | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Anders Thomsen | 3 | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.7 | 9 | -2.7 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 8.4 | 5 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.