TOR vs LES

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 14, 2019 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń

Results

TOR 42 : 48 LES
TOR
LES

Heat by heat

Heat 161.03 s3:3
Heat 261.13 s1:5
Heat 360.88 s2:4
Heat 461.19 s3:3
Heat 561.85 s3:3
Heat 661.09 s2:4
Heat 760.75 s4:2
Heat 862.53 s3:3
Heat 962.66 s2:4
Heat 1061.59 s2:4
Heat 1162.84 s5:1
Heat 1261.15 s3:3
Heat 1361.15 s3:3
Heat 1462.35 s2:4
Heat 1561.15 s4:2

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
13 → 12 °C
Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Wind
17 km/h NE
gusts up to 37 km/h
Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0.2 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
26 %
Measured · Torun, 3 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4915−6+6
5–79900
8–10711−4+4
11–13117+4−4
14–156600
TORLESTORLES

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead TOR
-10-8-6-4-20115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2-437 %
3-632 %
4-623 %
5-622 %
6-818 %
7-618 %
8-616 %
9-812 %
10-107 %
11-612 %
12-66 %
13-64 %
14-80 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Janusz Kołodziej57.713+5.3
Jason Doyle612.215+2.8
Chris Holder69.611+1.4
Bartosz Smektała57.79+1.3
Piotr Pawlicki58.39+0.7
Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński41.82+0.2
Jaimon Lidsey10.91+0.1
Niels Kristian Iversen612.112-0.1
Maksymilian Bogdanowicz21.51-0.5
Emil Sajfutdinow510.710-0.7
Norbert Kościuch10.90-0.9
Brady Kurtz55.64-1.6
Dominik Kubera44.52-2.5
Jack Holder56.61-5.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.8460.75 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 32.0:28.7 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −2.73 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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