LES vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, August 9, 2019 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 211+1
- 10Brady Kurtz1 2 1 15+1
- 11Jarosław HampelD 3 1 3 29+1
- 12Janusz Kołodziej3 2 3 3 314+1
- 13Piotr Pawlicki2 3 3 311+1
- 14Bartosz Smektała3 1 1 38
- 15Dominik Kubera2 3 1 06+1
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen0 W 00
- 2Rune Holta2 1 2 2 29
- 3Chris Holder2 2 0 04
- 4Norbert Kościuch2 1 03
- 5Jason Doyle1 1 2 0 15+1
- 6Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński0 0 00
- 7Maksymilian Bogdanowicz1 0 W1
- 8Jack Holder1 D 2 14
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Brady Kurtz · LES1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Jarosław Hampel · LESD
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · TOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Rune Holta · TOR1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Jack Holder · TORD
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Brady Kurtz · LES2*
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR2
- Brady Kurtz · LES1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Brady Kurtz · LES1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR1
- Jason Doyle · TOR0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2*
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1*
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 21 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h E
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LES | TOR | LES | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +16 | 99 % |
| 7 | +20 | 100 % |
| 8 | +22 | 100 % |
| 9 | +24 | 100 % |
| 10 | +26 | 100 % |
| 11 | +28 | 100 % |
| 12 | +30 | 100 % |
| 13 | +34 | 100 % |
| 14 | +38 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 9.3 | 14 | +4.7 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 4.9 | 9 | +4.1 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Maksymilian Bogdanowicz | 3 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 5.9 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 9.0 | 5 | -4.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 3 | 4.5 | 0 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.