GOR vs LES

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 4, 2019 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 46 : 44 LES

GOR

9Szymon Woźniak3 0 2 3 311
10Peter Kildemand0 3 03
11Krzysztof Kasprzak3 1 3 1 3 112+2
12Frederik Jakobsen1 2 03
13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 1 0 2 39
14Mateusz Bartkowiak0 00
15Rafał Karczmarz1 2 1 2 U 28+3

LES

1Emil Sajfutdinow2 3 3 0 210
2Brady Kurtz1 0 2 3 06+2
3Jarosław Hampel0 2 1 03+1
4Janusz Kołodziej2 3 3 1 09
5Piotr Pawlicki1 1 2 2 17+1
6Dominik Kubera2 2 15+1
7Bartosz Smektała3 0 14+1

Heat by heat

Heat 159.13 s3:3

Heat 259.13 s1:5

Heat 359.50 s4:2

Heat 459.16 s5:1

Heat 559.56 s3:3

Heat 659.56 s1:5

Heat 760.25 s3:3

Heat 859.78 s1:5

Heat 960.00 s2:4

Heat 1060.10 s3:3

Heat 1160.06 s3:3

Heat 1260.15 s5:1

Heat 1360.56 s3:3

Heat 1460.09 s5:1

Heat 1560.03 s4:2

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 22 → 21 °C; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Wind: 5 km/h N; gusts up to 17 km/h; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 59 %; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	13	11	+2	−2
5–7	7	11	−4	+4
8–10	6	12	−6	+6
11–13	11	7	+4	−4
14–15	9	3	+6	−6
	GOR	LES	GOR	LES

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	-4	37 %
3	-2	47 %
4	+2	73 %
5	+2	69 %
6	-2	48 %
7	-2	46 %
8	-6	16 %
9	-8	12 %
10	-8	5 %
11	-8	8 %
12	-4	20 %
13	-4	14 %
14	0	56 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Szymon Woźniak	5	6.1	11	+4.9
Rafał Karczmarz	6	3.3	8	+4.7
Krzysztof Kasprzak	6	8.1	12	+3.9
Frederik Jakobsen	3	2.2	3	+0.8
Peter Kildemand	3	3.0	3	-0.0
Brady Kurtz	5	6.0	6	-0.0
Dominik Kubera	3	5.2	5	-0.2
Janusz Kołodziej	5	9.3	9	-0.3
Bartosz Smektała	3	4.8	4	-0.8
Mateusz Bartkowiak	2	1.0	0	-1.0
Emil Sajfutdinow	5	11.9	10	-1.9
Jarosław Hampel	4	6.0	3	-3.0
Piotr Pawlicki	5	10.5	7	-3.5
Bartosz Zmarzlik	5	12.6	9	-3.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.5659.13 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 33.0:29.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.90 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source