LES vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 7, 2019 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow2 3 3 3 213+1
- 11Brady Kurtz1 2 3 2 08
- 12Janusz Kołodziej3 1 2 0 06+1
- 13Piotr Pawlicki3 3 2 0 311
- 14Bartosz Smektała3 2 1 0 06+1
- 15Dominik Kubera3 0 2 0 16+1
- 1Tai Woffinden1 3 3 3 3 316
- 2Jakub Jamróg00
- 3Maciej Janowski2 0 2 2 2 19+1
- 4Vaclav MilikW 2 1 14+2
- 5Max Fricke1 1 1 2 16+2
- 6Maksym DrabikD 2 0 13
- 7Przemysław Liszka1 01
- 8Gleb ChugunovW 11
Heat by heat
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO1
- Maksym Drabik · WROD
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Brady Kurtz · LES1
- Vaclav Milik · WROW
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Max Fricke · WRO1*
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Brady Kurtz · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Vaclav Milik · WRO2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2*
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Brady Kurtz · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Brady Kurtz · LES2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Max Fricke · WRO2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Max Fricke · WRO1*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 17 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h NE
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LES | WRO | LES | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 11.6 | 16 | +4.4 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.9 | 13 | +3.1 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 5.4 | 8 | +2.6 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Vaclav Milik | 4 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Przemysław Liszka | 2 | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 2 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 7.3 | 6 | -1.3 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 12.0 | 9 | -3.0 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Maksym Drabik | 4 | 6.8 | 3 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.