LES vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 17, 2018 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel3 2 1 06
- 10Brady Kurtz1 1 3 05
- 11Emil Sajfutdinow3 1 3 3 313
- 12Janusz Kołodziej2 0 2 3 18+2
- 13Piotr Pawlicki2 1 1 3 18+2
- 14Dominik Kubera3 3 1 29
- 15Bartosz Smektała2 3 05+1
- 1Jason Doyle2 3 3 1 2 213+1
- 3Rune HoltaD 00
- 4Niels Kristian Iversen1 2 2 2 07
- 5Chris Holder1 3 1 1 06+1
- 6Daniel Kaczmarek1 0 D 01
- 7Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński0 00
- 8Jack Holder0 2 2 0 2 39+2
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Brady Kurtz · LES1
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1
- Rune Holta · TORD
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Rune Holta · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Brady Kurtz · LES1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TORD
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Brady Kurtz · LES3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1*
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LES0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 29 → 25 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 18 km/h NW
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 27 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 19 | 5 | +14 | −14 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LES | TOR | LES | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +14 | 100 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 4.4 | 9 | +4.6 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.3 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Jack Holder | 6 | 6.3 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 12.6 | 13 | +0.4 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 2 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 4 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.3 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 4 | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Rune Holta | 2 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.