TAR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 10, 2018 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen3 3 2 3 314
- 10Artur Mroczka2 1 1 0 26+3
- 11Jakub Jamróg2 2 3 1 311
- 12Peter KildemandW 1 01+1
- 13Kenneth Bjerre3 1 3 3 2 214+2
- 14Kacper Konieczny0 0 00
- 15Patryk Rolnicki1 0 01
- 1Jarosław Hampel0 0 1 23+2
- 2Janusz Kołodziej1 3 2 2 19
- 3Piotr Pawlicki1 3 3 1 08+1
- 4Brady Kurtz3 2 0 05+1
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow2 2 2 1 18
- 6Bartosz Smektała2 0 3 05+1
- 7Dominik Kubera3 1 15+2
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Jarosław Hampel · LES0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Brady Kurtz · LES3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1*
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Peter Kildemand · TAR1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Brady Kurtz · LES2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1*
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1*
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1*
- Peter Kildemand · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2*
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR1
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 30 → 28 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h E
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.9 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| TAR | LES | TAR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 8.3 | 14 | +5.7 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 9.6 | 14 | +4.4 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 7.4 | 11 | +3.6 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Dominik Kubera | 3 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 9.6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Kacper Konieczny | 3 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 10.5 | 8 | -2.5 |
| Peter Kildemand | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 11.3 | 8 | -3.3 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 4 | 7.7 | 3 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.