LES vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 27, 2018 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel1 2 3 39+1
- 10Janusz Kołodziej3 3 2 0 210+1
- 11Piotr Pawlicki1 2 2 3 210+2
- 12Brady Kurtz0 1 3 15+1
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow1 3 2 2 311+1
- 14Dominik Kubera3 0 25+1
- 15Bartosz Smektała2 2 1 05+2
- 1Nicki Pedersen2 3 3 D 311
- 2Artur MroczkaT 0 1 01
- 3Jakub Jamróg3 1 1 3 2 111+1
- 4Viktor Kulakov2 2 0 0 15+1
- 5Kenneth Bjerre3 1 1 05
- 6Patryk Rolnicki0 1 0 0 12
- 7Dawid KnapikD 00
Heat by heat
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Dawid Knapik · TARD
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR3
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Dawid Knapik · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Brady Kurtz · LES1*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR2
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR1*
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1*
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR1
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR0
- Brady Kurtz · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2*
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Nicki Pedersen · TARD
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Brady Kurtz · LES1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · TAR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 28 → 24 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 11 km/h E
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LES | TAR | LES | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Jamróg | 6 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 4 | 7.5 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Dominik Kubera | 3 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 10.2 | 10 | -0.2 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 5 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 6.7 | 5 | -1.7 |
| Dawid Knapik | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Artur Mroczka | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.