TOR vs LES

PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 18, 2018 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń

Results

TOR 37 : 53 LES
TOR
LES

Heat by heat

Heat 159.47 s4:2
Heat 259.22 s1:5
Heat 359.22 s1:5
Heat 458.78 s3:3
Heat 559.63 s1:5
Heat 659.37 s3:3
Heat 758.71 s3:3
Heat 858.57 s3:3
Heat 959.22 s3:3
Heat 1059.16 s3:3
Heat 1159.10 s1:5
Heat 1259.13 s3:3
Heat 1359.22 s2:4
Heat 1459.44 s1:5
Heat 1559.34 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
20 → 14 °C
Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Wind
9 km/h N
gusts up to 39 km/h
Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
69 %
Measured · Torun, 3 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4915−6+6
5–7711−4+4
8–109900
11–13612−6+6
14–156600
TORLESTORLES

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead TOR
-20-15-10-50115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2-254 %
3-632 %
4-623 %
5-109 %
6-108 %
7-105 %
8-107 %
9-102 %
10-107 %
11-142 %
12-144 %
13-160 %
14-200 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Jason Doyle610.815+4.2
Emil Sajfutdinow48.012+4.0
Daniel Kaczmarek53.85+1.2
Janusz Kołodziej59.811+1.2
Piotr Pawlicki510.111+0.9
Brady Kurtz44.34-0.3
Jarosław Hampel59.39-0.3
Paweł Przedpełski44.54-0.5
Rune Holta69.79-0.7
Dominik Kubera44.33-1.3
Bartosz Smektała34.33-1.3
Jack Holder33.42-1.4
Marcin Kościelski21.80-1.8
Niels Kristian Iversen22.91-1.9
Chris Holder23.11-2.1

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 59.6358.57 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 35.7:23.7 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −4.80 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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