LES vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 6, 2018 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel3 3 2 3 011
- 10Janusz Kołodziej2 2 1 38+2
- 11Piotr Pawlicki3 3 3 3 315
- 12Brady Kurtz0 1 01
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow3 1 2 2 W8+1
- 14Bartosz Smektała1 0 2 25+1
- 15Dominik Kubera2 2 0 15+1
- 1Leon Madsen0 2 3 1 17+1
- 2Tobiasz Musielak1 W 1 1 36
- 3Adrian Miedziński1 2 W 0 14+2
- 4Fredrik Lindgren2 3 3 2 2 214
- 5Matej Zagar1 12
- 6Michał Gruchalski3 0 1 D4+1
- 7Bartosz ŚwiącikD D0
- 8Andreas Lyager00
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE1
- Leon Madsen · CZE0
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Bartosz Świącik · CZED
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE1*
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2*
- Matej Zagar · CZE1
- Bartosz Świącik · CZED
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Brady Kurtz · LES1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Matej Zagar · CZE1
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE1*
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE1
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Michał Gruchalski · CZED
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Andreas Lyager · CZE0
- Tobiasz Musielak · CZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19 → 16 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 11 km/h NE
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 45 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LES | CZE | LES | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.1 | 15 | +5.9 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 7.4 | 11 | +3.6 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 4 | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 4 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 6 | 14.2 | 14 | -0.2 |
| Andreas Lyager | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 5.9 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Bartosz Świącik | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Brady Kurtz | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Matej Zagar | 2 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 9.4 | 7 | -2.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.