LES vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 27, 2018 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel1 3 3 2 110
- 10Janusz KołodziejW0
- 11Piotr Pawlicki3 3 3 3 315
- 12Brady Kurtz2 2 1 1 28+4
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow1 3 2 3 312
- 14Bartosz Smektała2 1 1 26+2
- 15Dominik Kubera3 0 2 0 05+1
- 1Grzegorz Zengota3 0 3 1 0 29
- 2Jacob Thorssell2 1 1 2 17+1
- 3Piotr Protasiewicz0 2 02
- 4Michael Jepsen Jensen1 0 2 03
- 5Patryk Dudek2 1 2 1 3 09+2
- 6Alex Zgardziński1 0 01
- 7Sebastian Niedźwiedź0 3 03
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE2*
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LESW
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Brady Kurtz · LES2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Brady Kurtz · LES2*
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE1
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Brady Kurtz · LES1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1*
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE1
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Brady Kurtz · LES1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Brady Kurtz · LES2*
- Jacob Thorssell · ZIE1
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15 → 11 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 10 km/h E
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 49 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| LES | ZIE | LES | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.1 | 15 | +5.9 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 5.1 | 8 | +2.9 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 3 | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 6 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 3 | 4.7 | 2 | -2.7 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 5.8 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 14.3 | 9 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.