GRU vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 21, 2018 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Kai Huckenbeck0 00
- 10Antonio Lindbäck3 1 1 05
- 11Krzysztof Buczkowski1 W 01
- 12Artem Laguta0 3 0 2 3 08
- 13Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 W 2 2 110
- 14Dawid Wawrzyniak0 0 D0
- 15Kamil Wieczorek1 0 12
- 16Krystian Pieszczek0 2 02
- 1Jarosław Hampel1 1 3 1 17+1
- 3Brady Kurtz2 2 2 3 312+2
- 4Janusz Kołodziej3 1 3 2 211+2
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow1 3 1 1 39+1
- 6Dominik Kubera2 2 2 1 310+2
- 7Bartosz Smektała2 3 3 2 313+1
Heat by heat
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1*
- Kai Huckenbeck · GRU0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU1
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRU0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Brady Kurtz · LES2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Artem Laguta · GRU0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Brady Kurtz · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRU0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Brady Kurtz · LES2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Artem Laguta · GRU0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Brady Kurtz · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · GRUD
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Kai Huckenbeck · GRU0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU0
- Brady Kurtz · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Artem Laguta · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19 → 16 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 13 km/h NW
- gusts up to 42 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 31 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 7 | 17 | −10 | +10 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 4 | 14 | −10 | +10 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| GRU | LES | GRU | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -8 | 13 % |
| 4 | -10 | 8 % |
| 5 | -10 | 9 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -14 | 0 % |
| 8 | -18 | 1 % |
| 9 | -22 | 1 % |
| 10 | -24 | 2 % |
| 11 | -26 | 1 % |
| 12 | -28 | 0 % |
| 13 | -28 | 0 % |
| 14 | -30 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 3.9 | 12 | +8.1 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 7.6 | 13 | +5.4 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 5.6 | 10 | +4.4 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 4 | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 3 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 11.7 | 10 | -1.7 |
| Dawid Wawrzyniak | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 3 | 4.0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 10.2 | 7 | -3.2 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 11.8 | 8 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.