LES vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Saturday, September 29, 2018 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow2 3 1 3 110+1
- 10Brady Kurtz1 1 0 35+1
- 11Jarosław Hampel2 3 1 3 211+1
- 12Janusz Kołodziej3 2 3 1 211+1
- 13Piotr Pawlicki1 0 12
- 14Bartosz Smektała3 2 2 1 19+2
- 15Dominik Kubera2 0 02+1
- 1Martin Vaculik3 0 2 2 07+1
- 2Grzegorz Walasek0 1 01
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak1 3 2 1 310+1
- 4Szymon Woźniak0 1 3 0 04
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 3 2 2 315
- 6Rafał Karczmarz1 2 0 03+1
- 7Alan Szczotka0 00
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Brady Kurtz · LES1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Alan Szczotka · GOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Brady Kurtz · LES1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Alan Szczotka · GOR0
- Brady Kurtz · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 9 → 5 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 4 km/h SW
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 75 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LES | GOR | LES | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 13.7 | 15 | +1.3 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 4 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Alan Szczotka | 2 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Dominik Kubera | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 3 | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.