GOR vs LES

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 16, 2018 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 46 : 44 LES

GOR

9Krzysztof Kasprzak1 2 2 1 28+3
10Grzegorz Walasek2 0 1 25+2
11Martin Vaculik3 0 0 3 39
12Szymon Woźniak2 1 2 2 07+1
13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 3 3 213
14Hubert Czerniawski0 11
15Rafał Karczmarz3 0 03
16Alan Szczotka00

LES

1Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 2 1 110+1
2Brady Kurtz0 2 1 1 04+2
3Jarosław Hampel0 3 3 D 17
4Janusz KołodziejT W 00
5Piotr Pawlicki1 3 3 3 313+1
6Bartosz Smektała1 1 24+1
7Dominik Kubera2 1 2 1 06

Heat by heat

Heat 159.32 s3:3

Heat 258.98 s3:3

Heat 359.00 s5:1

Heat 458.69 s3:3

Heat 559.76 s1:5

Heat 659.42 s3:3

Heat 760.10 s2:4

Heat 859.63 s3:3

Heat 959.73 s3:3

Heat 1060.02 s2:4

Heat 1160.15 s5:1

Heat 1260.17 s3:3

Heat 1360.41 s3:3

Heat 1460.20 s5:1

Heat 1560.18 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 18 → 16 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 4 km/h SE; gusts up to 11 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 60 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	14	10	+4	−4
5–7	6	12	−6	+6
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	11	7	+4	−4
14–15	7	5	+2	−2
	GOR	LES	GOR	LES

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	0	64 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+4	83 %
5	0	64 %
6	0	66 %
7	-2	46 %
8	-2	48 %
9	-2	44 %
10	-4	22 %
11	0	48 %
12	0	57 %
13	0	56 %
14	+4	94 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Piotr Pawlicki	5	8.0	13	+5.0
Grzegorz Walasek	4	2.9	5	+2.1
Bartosz Zmarzlik	5	11.6	13	+1.4
Szymon Woźniak	5	5.7	7	+1.3
Martin Vaculik	5	8.3	9	+0.7
Dominik Kubera	5	5.6	6	+0.4
Hubert Czerniawski	2	0.7	1	+0.3
Rafał Karczmarz	3	2.8	3	+0.2
Alan Szczotka	1	0.3	0	-0.3
Emil Sajfutdinow	5	10.5	10	-0.5
Brady Kurtz	5	5.2	4	-1.2
Bartosz Smektała	3	5.5	4	-1.5
Jarosław Hampel	5	8.8	7	-1.8
Krzysztof Kasprzak	5	10.6	8	-2.6
Janusz Kołodziej	2	3.5	0	-3.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.4158.69 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 35.0:33.0 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.47 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source