LES vs WRO

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 9, 2018 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno

Results

LES 48 : 42 WRO
LES
WRO

Heat by heat

Heat 161.97 s4:2
Heat 261.84 s3:3
Heat 362.00 s2:4
Heat 462.65 s5:1
Heat 562.75 s2:4
Heat 662.94 s3:3
Heat 762.75 s1:5
Heat 863.03 s3:3
Heat 963.10 s4:2
Heat 1063.41 s4:2
Heat 1163.19 s4:2
Heat 1263.25 s4:2
Heat 1362.44 s4:2
Heat 1463.22 s3:3
Heat 1563.26 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
20 → 17 °C
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind
4 km/h E
gusts up to 11 km/h
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
56 %
Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41410+4−4
5–7612−6+6
8–10117+4−4
11–13126+6−6
14–1557−2+2
LESWROLESWRO

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead LES
-202468115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2+277 %
3064 %
4+483 %
5+269 %
6+274 %
7-246 %
8-248 %
9056 %
10+270 %
11+488 %
12+692 %
13+898 %
14+8100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Maciej Janowski611.515+3.5
Piotr Pawlicki57.810+2.2
Jarosław Hampel46.58+1.5
Bartosz Smektała46.78+1.3
Gleb Chugunov43.04+1.0
Maksym Drabik46.27+0.8
Emil Sajfutdinow59.710+0.3
Max Fricke57.17-0.1
Brady Kurtz55.65-0.6
Dominik Kubera33.83-0.8
Tai Woffinden59.78-1.7
Przemysław Liszka31.70-1.7
Vaclav Milik33.11-2.1
Janusz Kołodziej47.54-3.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 63.4161.84 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 29.7:33.0 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −0.90 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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