LES vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 26, 2018 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 2 311
- 10Jarosław Hampel1 2 1 3 310+1
- 11Brady Kurtz3 0 2 05+1
- 12Janusz Kołodziej2 2 3 2 09+2
- 13Piotr Pawlicki3 1 3 1 210+1
- 14Bartosz Smektała3 3 1 310
- 15Szymon Szlauderbach0 0 00
- 1Tai Woffinden2 3 1 2 3 112+2
- 2Damian Dróżdż00
- 3Vaclav Milik0 0 D 00
- 4Maciej Janowski1 1 2 3 0 29
- 5Max Fricke1 0 1 1 14+1
- 6Maksym Drabik2 2 1 2 2 09+1
- 7Przemysław Liszka1 01+1
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES0
- Brady Kurtz · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Max Fricke · WRO1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2*
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Max Fricke · WRO0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Vaclav Milik · WROD
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Brady Kurtz · LES2*
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h W
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LES | WRO | LES | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 5.1 | 10 | +4.9 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 7.5 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 7.1 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Damian Dróżdż | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Przemysław Liszka | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Maksym Drabik | 6 | 9.8 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 13.2 | 12 | -1.2 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 3 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 11.6 | 9 | -2.6 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Vaclav Milik | 4 | 5.0 | 0 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.