GOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 27, 2018 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak3 3 1 2 211
- 10Grzegorz Walasek2 1 3 1 07+1
- 11Martin Vaculik1 2 2 2 310
- 12Szymon Woźniak0 1 0 12+2
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 2 3 112+1
- 14Hubert Czerniawski0 0 00
- 15Rafał Karczmarz1 2 03+1
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow1 3 3 3 313
- 2Jarosław Hampel0 0 1 2 14+1
- 3Brady Kurtz2 2 0 04+1
- 4Janusz Kołodziej3 1 2 3 09+1
- 5Piotr Pawlicki1 2 3 0 28
- 6Bartosz Smektała3 0 14
- 7Dominik Kubera2 0 13+1
Heat by heat
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Jarosław Hampel · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Brady Kurtz · LES2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Brady Kurtz · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR1
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Hubert Czerniawski · GOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · GOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 22 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h SE
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 72 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GOR | LES | GOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 4.9 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.0 | 12 | +0.0 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Dominik Kubera | 3 | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Hubert Czerniawski | 3 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 4 | 5.0 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 7.7 | 4 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.