LES vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 12, 2018 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow3 1 0 3 18+1
- 10Jarosław Hampel0 2 3 2 310
- 11Brady Kurtz2 1 3 1 07
- 12Janusz Kołodziej1 3 1 16+1
- 13Piotr Pawlicki2 0 3 05
- 14Bartosz Smektała1 3 3 310+1
- 15Szymon Szlauderbach2 1 14+1
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 2 2 1 09+1
- 2Krystian Pieszczek1 0 01+1
- 3Antonio Lindbäck3 1 2 1 29+1
- 4Krzysztof Buczkowski0 2 1 03+1
- 5Artem Laguta3 3 2 3 2 215
- 6Kamil Wieczorek3 0 03
- 7Damian Lotarski0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LES0
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1*
- Damian Lotarski · GRU0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Brady Kurtz · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES1*
- Damian Lotarski · GRU0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Brady Kurtz · LES1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GRU0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
- Brady Kurtz · LES3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Damian Lotarski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Brady Kurtz · LES1
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1*
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 19 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h S
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LES | GRU | LES | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 5.9 | 10 | +4.1 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 3 | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 3 | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 13.6 | 15 | +1.4 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 10.0 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 4 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 6.7 | 5 | -1.7 |
| Damian Lotarski | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.