CZE vs LES

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 1, 2018 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa

Results

CZE 47 : 43 LES

CZE

9Leon Madsen2 3 3 2 313
10Tobiasz MusielakW 11+1
11Adrian Miedziński3 2 0 3 210+2
12Matej ZagarD 3 3 1 310+1
13Fredrik Lindgren3 3 2 2 212+1
14Bartosz Świącik0 0 00
15Michał Gruchalski1 W 01
16Andreas Lyager0 00

LES

1Jarosław Hampel1 0 3 1 05+1
2Janusz KołodziejT 1 12
3Piotr Pawlicki2 2 1 3 19+1
4Brady Kurtz1 1 2 0 15+1
5Emil Sajfutdinow1 1 2 3 07+1
6Bartosz Smektała3 3 2 0 210
7Dominik Kubera2 2 15+2

Heat by heat

Heat 164.68 s2:4

Heat 265.05 s1:5

Heat 365.74 s3:3

Heat 466.20 s3:3

Heat 566.78 s5:1

Heat 666.33 s3:3

Heat 766.06 s3:3

Heat 866.80 s2:4

Heat 967.02 s3:3

Leon Madsen · CZE3
Brady Kurtz · LES2
Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
Andreas Lyager · CZE0

Heat 1067.62 s3:3

Heat 1166.88 s3:3

Heat 1266.68 s3:3

Heat 1366.89 s3:3

Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
Leon Madsen · CZE2
Matej Zagar · CZE1*
Brady Kurtz · LES0

Heat 1467.56 s5:1

Heat 1566.80 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 14 → 12 °C; Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Wind: 10 km/h NW; gusts up to 37 km/h; Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 66 %; Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	9	15	−6	+6
5–7	11	7	+4	−4
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	9	9	0	0
14–15	10	2	+8	−8
	CZE	LES	CZE	LES

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead CZE

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-2	53 %
2	-6	27 %
3	-6	32 %
4	-6	23 %
5	-2	47 %
6	-2	48 %
7	-2	46 %
8	-4	35 %
9	-4	28 %
10	-4	22 %
11	-4	18 %
12	-4	20 %
13	-4	14 %
14	0	56 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Adrian Miedziński	5	6.2	10	+3.8
Bartosz Smektała	5	6.4	10	+3.6
Leon Madsen	5	10.5	13	+2.5
Matej Zagar	5	7.9	10	+2.1
Dominik Kubera	3	3.9	5	+1.1
Fredrik Lindgren	5	11.1	12	+0.9
Piotr Pawlicki	5	8.7	9	+0.3
Brady Kurtz	5	5.5	5	-0.5
Tobiasz Musielak	2	1.6	1	-0.6
Michał Gruchalski	3	1.7	1	-0.7
Andreas Lyager	2	1.1	0	-1.1
Janusz Kołodziej	2	3.7	2	-1.7
Bartosz Świącik	3	2.3	0	-2.3
Emil Sajfutdinow	5	10.0	7	-3.0
Jarosław Hampel	5	9.3	5	-4.3

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 67.6264.68 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 31.3:35.3 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −2.03 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source