GOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 21, 2017 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Niels Kristian Iversen3 1 0 2 06+2
- 10Linus Sundstroem0 2 2 26+1
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki3 3 1 W 29
- 12Martin VaculikW 2 3 3 311+1
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 3 214+1
- 14Alan Szczotka1 0 12
- 15Rafał Karczmarz2 1 03
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow1 0 2 3 17+1
- 2Peter Kildemand2 1 1 04+1
- 3Piotr Pawlicki2 1 3 1 0 07+1
- 4Janusz Kołodziej1 2 14
- 5Nicki Pedersen0 3 2 1 17
- 6Dominik KuberaW 00
- 7Bartosz Smektała3 2 0 2 310+1
Heat by heat
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Peter Kildemand · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2
- Alan Szczotka · GOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Martin Vaculik · GORW
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Nicki Pedersen · LES0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Peter Kildemand · LES1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Alan Szczotka · GOR0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1*
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Peter Kildemand · LES1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Linus Sundstroem · GOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Peter Kildemand · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Alan Szczotka · GOR1
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR2
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 18 → 15 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h N
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GOR | LES | GOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 4.3 | 10 | +5.7 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 10.2 | 14 | +3.8 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 4 | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 8.7 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 3 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.0 | 7 | -2.0 |
| Dominik Kubera | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 10.0 | 6 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.