LES vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 30, 2017 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow2 2 2 3 110+2
- 10Peter Kildemand1 3 1 3 210+3
- 11Piotr PawlickiW 2 1 36+1
- 12Janusz Kołodziej3 3 3 211+1
- 13Nicki Pedersen2 2 3 2 312+2
- 14Bartosz Smektała3 3 2 210+1
- 15Dominik Kubera2 1 25+2
- 1Patryk Dudek3 1 0 1 D5
- 2Jarosław Hampel0 0 1 12
- 3Jason Doyle1 1 3 0 38
- 4Andriy Karpov2 0 0 02
- 5Piotr Protasiewicz3 1 2 1 1 08
- 6Alex Zgardziński1 0 0 01
- 7Sebastian Niedźwiedź0 U0
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Peter Kildemand · LES1*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2*
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE2
- Jason Doyle · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIEU
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2*
- Jason Doyle · ZIE1
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Peter Kildemand · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Peter Kildemand · LES1*
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Peter Kildemand · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Jason Doyle · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Peter Kildemand · LES2*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIED
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 10 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 17 km/h E
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LES | ZIE | LES | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +20 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +26 | 100 % |
| 12 | +30 | 100 % |
| 13 | +34 | 100 % |
| 14 | +38 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 3.1 | 10 | +6.9 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 5.6 | 10 | +4.4 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 4 | 7.4 | 11 | +3.6 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Dominik Kubera | 3 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 4 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Andriy Karpov | 4 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 6 | 10.2 | 8 | -2.2 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.5 | 8 | -3.5 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 4 | 5.6 | 2 | -3.6 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.1 | 5 | -5.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.