WRO vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 24, 2017 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Tai Woffinden3 2 3 0 19
- 10Szymon Woźniak1 0 2 3 06+1
- 11Maciej Janowski3 1 2 1 07+1
- 12Andzejs Lebedevs1 2 14+1
- 13Vaclav Milik0 1 2 03+1
- 14Damian Dróżdż2 0 24+1
- 15Maksym Drabik3 3 3 2 112
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow2 3 0 1 3 312+1
- 2Peter Kildemand0 11
- 3Piotr Pawlicki2 3 1 2 3 314
- 4Grzegorz Zengota0 2 0 24+2
- 5Janusz Kołodziej2 0 3 3 1 211+1
- 6Dominik Kubera0 1 W1
- 7Bartosz Smektała1 1 02+1
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO1
- Peter Kildemand · LES0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1*
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Vaclav Milik · WRO2*
- Peter Kildemand · LES1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h NW
- gusts up to 12 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 92 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| WRO | LES | WRO | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 8.7 | 14 | +5.3 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 7.7 | 12 | +4.3 |
| Damian Dróżdż | 3 | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 10.8 | 12 | +1.2 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 6 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 3 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 10.0 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Peter Kildemand | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Dominik Kubera | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Vaclav Milik | 4 | 7.2 | 3 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.