LES vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 17, 2017 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow2 2 2 1 07+1
- 10Peter Kildemand0 00
- 11Piotr Pawlicki3 2 2 2 110+2
- 12Grzegorz Zengota1 1 3 2 29
- 13Janusz Kołodziej2 3 0 1 39
- 14Bartosz Smektała3 1 3 0 310
- 15Dominik Kubera2 1 14+2
- 1Tai Woffinden3 3 2 1 1 W10+2
- 2Szymon Woźniak1 W 3 26+1
- 3Maciej Janowski2 2 0 3 D7
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs0 0 11
- 5Vaclav Milik3 3 1 3 2 315
- 6Damian Dróżdż1 1 02
- 7Lars Skupien0 0 W0
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO1
- Peter Kildemand · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2*
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO1
- Lars Skupien · WRO0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1*
- Lars Skupien · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO1
- Peter Kildemand · LES0
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Szymon Woźniak · WRO2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Maciej Janowski · WROD
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Vaclav Milik · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 8 km/h NW
- gusts up to 16 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 76 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LES | WRO | LES | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 10.4 | 15 | +4.6 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 7.1 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Dominik Kubera | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 4 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Damian Dróżdż | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Lars Skupien | 3 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Peter Kildemand | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 12.9 | 10 | -2.9 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 3 | 4.4 | 1 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.