LES vs RYB
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 20, 2017 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow2 2 D 15+1
- 10Janusz Kołodziej3 1 3 3 212+1
- 11Piotr Pawlicki3 2 3 2 111+2
- 12Grzegorz Zengota1 0 01
- 13Peter Kildemand1 2 3 0 u6+2
- 14Bartosz Smektała0 3 3 39
- 15Dominik Kubera3 2 1 0 17
- 1Brady Kurtz1 3 2 1 1 08+1
- 2Damian Baliński0 00
- 3Tobiasz Musielak2 1 1 1 2 29
- 4Rory SchleinU 00
- 5Fredrik Lindgren3 3 2 2 3 316
- 6Kacper Woryna2 0 1 0 2 W5+2
- 7Robert Chmiel1 01+1
Heat by heat
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1
- Damian Baliński · RYB0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Robert Chmiel · RYB1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Rory Schlein · RYBU
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2
- Peter Kildemand · LES1*
- Robert Chmiel · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Peter Kildemand · LES2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB1
- Rory Schlein · RYB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Kacper Woryna · RYB0
- Peter Kildemand · LES3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Damian Baliński · RYB0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB2
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LESD
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB2
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1*
- Peter Kildemand · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1
- Kacper Woryna · RYB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Tobiasz Musielak · RYB2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Fredrik Lindgren · RYB3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Brady Kurtz · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 19 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 12 km/h W
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LES | RYB | LES | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrik Lindgren | 6 | 11.5 | 16 | +4.5 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 8.8 | 12 | +3.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 5.0 | 8 | +3.0 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 6.2 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 4.7 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.3 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 6 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Robert Chmiel | 2 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Damian Baliński | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Rory Schlein | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 7.9 | 5 | -2.9 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 3 | 4.9 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Kacper Woryna | 6 | 10.3 | 5 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.