LES vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 6, 2017 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno

Results

LES 41 : 49 GOR

LES

9Emil Sajfutdinow2 2 3 3 T 212+2
10Peter Kildemand3 1 0 04
11Piotr Pawlicki1 0 2 14
12Grzegorz Zengota2 2 1 0 05+1
13Janusz Kołodziej3 0 2 1 39
14Bartosz Smektała0 2 0 24
15Dominik Kubera3 0 03

GOR

1Przemysław Pawlicki0 1 3 2 28+1
2Niels Kristian Iversen1 3 1 2 310+1
3Krzysztof KasprzakW 3 2 3 19
4Linus Sundstroem3 1 1 16+1
5Bartosz Zmarzlik2 3 3 3 W11
6Rafał Karczmarz2 W 13+1
7Hubert Czerniawski1 1 02+2

Heat by heat

Heat 161.66 s5:1

Heat 262.00 s3:3

Heat 361.90 s3:3

Heat 461.50 s3:3

Heat 562.30 s2:4

Heat 662.00 s2:4

Heat 761.90 s3:3

Heat 862.20 s2:4

Heat 961.80 s3:3

Heat 1061.90 s3:3

Heat 1163.00 s1:5

Heat 1262.60 s3:3

Heat 1362.40 s2:4

Heat 1462.90 s1:5

Heat 1562.70 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 21 → 18 °C; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind: 10 km/h NW; gusts up to 30 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 50 %; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	14	10	+4	−4
5–7	7	11	−4	+4
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	6	12	−6	+6
14–15	6	6	0	0
	LES	GOR	LES	GOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead LES

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+4	83 %
5	+2	69 %
6	0	66 %
7	0	60 %
8	-2	48 %
9	-2	44 %
10	-2	36 %
11	-6	12 %
12	-6	6 %
13	-8	2 %
14	-12	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Emil Sajfutdinow	5	9.3	12	+2.7
Niels Kristian Iversen	5	7.6	10	+2.4
Krzysztof Kasprzak	5	6.9	9	+2.1
Przemysław Pawlicki	5	6.9	8	+1.1
Rafał Karczmarz	3	2.8	3	+0.2
Hubert Czerniawski	3	1.8	2	+0.2
Dominik Kubera	3	2.9	3	+0.1
Janusz Kołodziej	5	9.1	9	-0.1
Linus Sundstroem	4	6.4	6	-0.4
Bartosz Zmarzlik	5	11.6	11	-0.6
Peter Kildemand	4	4.8	4	-0.8
Bartosz Smektała	4	5.1	4	-1.1
Grzegorz Zengota	5	7.3	5	-2.3
Piotr Pawlicki	4	7.5	4	-3.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 63.0061.50 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 26.3:38.3 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −0.20

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source