LES vs TOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 30, 2017 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno

Results

LES 53 : 37 TOR

LES

9Emil Sajfutdinow2 3 3 2 010+1
10Peter Kildemand0 2 2 04+2
11Piotr Pawlicki2 2 3 2 110+1
12Grzegorz Zengota1 1 1 36+2
13Janusz Kołodziej3 D 1 3 310
14Bartosz Smektała3 1 3 29+1
15Dominik Kubera2 2 04+2

TOR

1Chris Holder1 0 0 12
2Jack Holder3 3 2 2 1 213+3
3Adrian Miedziński0 2 0 2 W4+1
4Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 3 1 1 314
5Grzegorz Walasek1 1 02
6Daniel Kaczmarek1 0 0 12
7Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński0 00

Heat by heat

Heat 161.02 s2:4

Heat 260.59 s5:1

Heat 360.02 s3:3

Heat 460.01 s5:1

Heat 561.50 s3:3

Jack Holder · TOR3
Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
Chris Holder · TOR0

Heat 660.09 s1:5

Heat 760.20 s5:1

Heat 860.60 s1:5

Heat 960.40 s5:1

Heat 1060.90 s4:2

Heat 1161.20 s3:3

Heat 1261.50 s5:1

Heat 1361.60 s5:1

Heat 1461.90 s5:1

Heat 1561.90 s1:5

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy → Clear; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 30 → 26 °C; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind: 9 km/h SW; gusts up to 22 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 51 %; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	15	9	+6	−6
5–7	9	9	0	0
8–10	10	8	+2	−2
11–13	13	5	+8	−8
14–15	6	6	0	0
	LES	TOR	LES	TOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead LES

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-2	53 %
2	+2	77 %
3	+2	77 %
4	+6	90 %
5	+6	90 %
6	+2	74 %
7	+6	90 %
8	+2	71 %
9	+6	89 %
10	+8	95 %
11	+8	95 %
12	+12	100 %
13	+16	100 %
14	+20	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Jack Holder	6	4.2	13	+8.8
Michael Jepsen Jensen	6	7.4	14	+6.6
Bartosz Smektała	4	5.2	9	+3.8
Dominik Kubera	3	3.6	4	+0.4
Emil Sajfutdinow	5	10.1	10	-0.1
Piotr Pawlicki	5	10.8	10	-0.8
Grzegorz Zengota	4	7.0	6	-1.0
Janusz Kołodziej	5	11.0	10	-1.0
Daniel Kaczmarek	4	3.2	2	-1.2
Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński	2	1.6	0	-1.6
Peter Kildemand	4	6.3	4	-2.3
Grzegorz Walasek	3	4.5	2	-2.5
Adrian Miedziński	5	7.5	4	-3.5
Chris Holder	4	7.6	2	-5.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.9060.01 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 27.3:34.0 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −0.50

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source