LES vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 5, 2017 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow3 W 3 2 3 314
- 10Peter Kildemand1 3 0 04
- 11Piotr Pawlicki0 0 11+1
- 12Janusz Kołodziej3 2 2 2 3 214+2
- 13Nicki Pedersen2 1 0 2 16
- 14Bartosz Smektała1 01
- 15Dominik KuberaD 1 2 14+1
- 1Tai Woffinden2 3 3 W 19
- 2Andzejs Lebedevs0 1 12
- 3Maciej Janowski2 2 2 1 07+1
- 4Tomasz Jędrzejak1 3 1 05+2
- 5Vaclav Milik0 1 3 1 05
- 6Maksym Drabik3 2 3 3 213
- 7Damian Dróżdż2 3 05+1
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Peter Kildemand · LES1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Dominik Kubera · LESD
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1*
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Peter Kildemand · LES3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · WRO1
- Nicki Pedersen · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO1*
- Peter Kildemand · LES0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Damian Dróżdż · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Peter Kildemand · LES0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Vaclav Milik · WRO1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · WRO0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Nicki Pedersen · LES1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 10 km/h N
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 88 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| LES | WRO | LES | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -12 | 0 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 7.3 | 13 | +5.7 |
| Damian Dróżdż | 3 | 1.9 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 11.9 | 14 | +2.1 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 6 | 12.1 | 14 | +1.9 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 10.0 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 7.8 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 3 | 4.7 | 1 | -3.7 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 9.9 | 6 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.