GRU vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 19, 2016 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Antonio Lindbäck3 3 2 0 210+1
- 10Tomasz Gollob2 2 3 2 110+2
- 11Rafał Okoniewski1 3 2 3 312+1
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski2 2 1 1 17+3
- 13Artem Laguta3 3 3 09
- 14Mike Trzensiok0 0 11
- 15Marcin Nowak1 2 25+2
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen1 0 1 24
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen0 1 01
- 3Matej Zagar3 1 0 1 05+1
- 4Przemysław Pawlicki0 2 1 3 28
- 5Krzysztof Kasprzak1 1 0 2 04+1
- 6Bartosz Zmarzlik3 0 3 3 0 312
- 7Adrian Cyfer2 02+1
Heat by heat
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR2*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Marcin Nowak · GRU2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1*
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Marcin Nowak · GRU2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR1
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Artem Laguta · GRU0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GOR2
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU1
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 26 → 25 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h SW
- gusts up to 21 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 36 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GRU | GOR | GRU | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 5.7 | 12 | +6.3 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 5 | 5.5 | 10 | +4.5 |
| Marcin Nowak | 3 | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Artem Laguta | 4 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 2 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Mike Trzensiok | 3 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 3 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 14.3 | 12 | -2.3 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 7.5 | 4 | -3.5 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.5 | 5 | -3.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 8.4 | 4 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.