TAR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 15, 2016 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Leon Madsen2 3 2 0 1 19
- 10Piotr Świderski1 0 D1+1
- 11Kenneth Bjerre3 2 2 2 3 012
- 12Mikkel Michelsen0 1 12+2
- 13Janusz Kołodziej1 2 3 1 310
- 14Patryk RolnickiW 00
- 15Arkadiusz Madej2 3 0 0 05
- 1Patryk Dudek3 3 2 1 211+1
- 2Justin Sedgmen0 00
- 3Jason Doyle1 3 3 3 313+1
- 4Andriy Karpov2 1 1 2 D6
- 5Piotr Protasiewicz2 2 3 1 210+1
- 6Krystian Pieszczek3 1 1 2 310+3
- 7Sebastian Niedźwiedź1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2
- Piotr Świderski · TAR1*
- Justin Sedgmen · ZIE0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR2
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE2
- Jason Doyle · ZIE1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR0
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1*
- Justin Sedgmen · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1*
- Piotr Świderski · TAR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1*
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1
- Piotr Świderski · TARD
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1*
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Leon Madsen · TAR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Andriy Karpov · ZIED
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 18 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h N
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TAR | ZIE | TAR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -10 | 1 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Arkadiusz Madej | 5 | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.1 | 13 | +1.9 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Andriy Karpov | 5 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 11.7 | 11 | -0.7 |
| Leon Madsen | 6 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Piotr Świderski | 3 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Justin Sedgmen | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 11.9 | 10 | -1.9 |
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.