GRU vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 3, 2016 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Antonio Lindbäck1 2 3 2 311+2
- 10Tomasz Gollob2 3 2 3 010+1
- 11Rafał Okoniewski0 0 3 3 39
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski2 3 2 U7+1
- 13Artem Laguta3 1 3 0 07
- 14Mike Trzensiok3 0 03
- 15Marcin Nowak2 1 14+1
- 1Martin Vaculik3 2 2 2 1 111+2
- 2Artur Mroczka0 1 01+1
- 3Chris Holder3 2 1 1 2 211+2
- 4Adrian Miedziński1 3 W 3 18+1
- 5Greg Hancock2 1 1 15
- 6Paweł Przedpełski1 0 0 23
- 7Norbert KrakowiakW W0
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1*
- Artur Mroczka · TOR0
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU3
- Marcin Nowak · GRU2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Greg Hancock · TOR2
- Marcin Nowak · GRU1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Martin Vaculik · TOR2
- Artur Mroczka · TOR1*
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2*
- Greg Hancock · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Martin Vaculik · TOR2
- Marcin Nowak · GRU1
- Artur Mroczka · TOR0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Greg Hancock · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Martin Vaculik · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Artem Laguta · GRU0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Martin Vaculik · TOR1*
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Greg Hancock · TOR1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRUU
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Artem Laguta · GRU0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Martin Vaculik · TOR1*
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 21 → 15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h W
- gusts up to 27 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GRU | TOR | GRU | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomasz Gollob | 5 | 6.2 | 10 | +3.8 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 6.6 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 8.6 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 4.9 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Marcin Nowak | 3 | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Mike Trzensiok | 3 | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 10.6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Artur Mroczka | 3 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 9.9 | 7 | -2.9 |
| Greg Hancock | 4 | 8.9 | 5 | -3.9 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 7.1 | 3 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.