LES vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 22, 2016 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Piotr Pawlicki3 3 3 D 110+1
- 10Tobiasz Musielak2 2 1 1 39+3
- 11Peter Kildemand1 0 1 24+1
- 12Nicki Pedersen2 3 3 3 213
- 13Grzegorz Zengota3 2 2 2 110
- 14Bartosz Smektała3 0 14+1
- 15Daniel Kaczmarek2 2 15+2
- 1Antonio Lindbäck1 1 3 2 3 010+1
- 2Peter Ljung0 2 W 0 13
- 3Artem Laguta3 3 2 3 2 316
- 4Rafał Okoniewski0 1 0 2 03
- 5Tomasz Gollob1 12
- 6Marcin NowakD 0 00
- 7Mike Trzensiok1 D 01
Heat by heat
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Peter Ljung · GRU0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LES2*
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU1
- Marcin Nowak · GRUD
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Peter Kildemand · LES1*
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LES2*
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRUD
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Peter Ljung · GRU2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1*
- Peter Kildemand · LES0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2*
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU1
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Peter Kildemand · LES1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1*
- Peter Ljung · GRU0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Peter Kildemand · LES2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Peter Ljung · GRU1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 26 → 25 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 16 km/h SE
- gusts up to 36 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 37 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LES | GRU | LES | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 9.6 | 16 | +6.4 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 8.5 | 13 | +4.5 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 5.5 | 9 | +3.5 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 3 | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Mike Trzensiok | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 2 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 6 | 11.9 | 10 | -1.9 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 5.7 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Marcin Nowak | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 6.8 | 3 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.