GRU vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 8, 2016 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Antonio Lindbäck3 3 2 3 112
- 10Peter Ljung2 1 1 04+2
- 11Rafał Okoniewski0 2 2 2 06
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski2 1 1 2 28+3
- 13Tomasz Gollob3 1 3 3 313
- 14Mateusz RujnerT 0 11+1
- 15Marcin Nowak2 0 02
- 1Patryk Dudek0 1 3 1 3 210+1
- 2Andriy Karpov1 0 2 25
- 3Jason Doyle3 2 3 1 0 09+2
- 5Piotr Protasiewicz1 3 2 0 1 310+1
- 6Sebastian Niedźwiedź1 0 01
- 7Krystian Pieszczek3 2 0 3 19
Heat by heat
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Peter Ljung · GRU2*
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Marcin Nowak · GRU2
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE1
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2*
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU1
- Mateusz Rujner · GRU0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Peter Ljung · GRU1
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Peter Ljung · GRU1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE2
- Jason Doyle · ZIE1*
- Peter Ljung · GRU0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Mateusz Rujner · GRU1*
- Sebastian Niedźwiedź · ZIE0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Jason Doyle · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Jason Doyle · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 24 → 23 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h NE
- gusts up to 34 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 27 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GRU | ZIE | GRU | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomasz Gollob | 5 | 7.7 | 13 | +5.3 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 6.0 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Andriy Karpov | 4 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Marcin Nowak | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 10.3 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 11.4 | 10 | -1.4 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 6 | 11.5 | 10 | -1.5 |
| Mateusz Rujner | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Sebastian Niedźwiedź | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Peter Ljung | 4 | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.