TOR vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 1, 2016 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik2 2 2 1 29
- 10Kacper Gomolski1 1 1 25+3
- 11Chris Holder3 1 3 1 19+1
- 12Adrian Miedziński1 3 1 3 W8
- 13Greg Hancock3 3 2 0 210
- 14Norbert Krakowiak2 0 02+1
- 15Paweł Przedpełski3 1 15+1
- 1Leon Madsen3 2 0 3 2 111+1
- 2Piotr Świderski0 00
- 3Kenneth Bjerre2 2 3 1 2 313
- 4Mikkel Michelsen0 1 01+1
- 5Janusz Kołodziej2 3 T 2 0 310
- 6Krystian RempałaT 0 3 0 3 06
- 7Patryk Rolnicki1 01
Heat by heat
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Martin Vaculik · TOR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1*
- Piotr Świderski · TAR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Norbert Krakowiak · TOR2*
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Piotr Świderski · TAR0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1*
- Norbert Krakowiak · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Martin Vaculik · TOR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1*
- Krystian Rempała · TAR0
- Krystian Rempała · TAR3
- Greg Hancock · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Leon Madsen · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Martin Vaculik · TOR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Krystian Rempała · TAR0
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Greg Hancock · TOR0
- Krystian Rempała · TAR3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Norbert Krakowiak · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Martin Vaculik · TOR1
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Martin Vaculik · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Krystian Rempała · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Greg Hancock · TOR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14 → 13 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h N
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TOR | TAR | TOR | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 8.7 | 13 | +4.3 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Krystian Rempała | 6 | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 6.5 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 2 | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Leon Madsen | 6 | 11.4 | 11 | -0.4 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 3 | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 11.0 | 10 | -1.0 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 11.1 | 10 | -1.1 |
| Piotr Świderski | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 3 | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.