TAR vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 12, 2016 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów

Results

TAR 42 : 48 GOR

TAR

9Leon Madsen1 2 3 3 09+1
10Piotr Świderski2 1 1 04+1
11Kenneth Bjerre2 1 2 3 210+1
12Mikkel Michelsen0 2 0 0 02
13Janusz Kołodziej3 1 3 2 312
14Arkadiusz Madej3 0 03
15Patryk Rolnicki2 0 02+1

GOR

1Niels Kristian Iversen3 3 1 2 110+2
2Michael Jepsen Jensen0 0 22
3Matej Zagar3 3 D 17
4Przemysław Pawlicki1 2 2 1 39+2
5Krzysztof Kasprzak1 3 1 2 29+1
6Adrian Cyfer0 0 11+1
7Bartosz Zmarzlik1 2 3 3 110

Heat by heat

Heat 168.36 s3:3

Heat 269.36 s5:1

Heat 369.40 s2:4

Heat 468.70 s3:3

Heat 569.84 s3:3

Heat 670.02 s1:5

Heat 770.03 s3:3

Heat 869.44 s3:3

Heat 969.95 s4:2

Heat 1070.05 s2:4

Heat 1170.39 s2:4

Heat 1270.54 s3:3

Heat 1370.10 s3:3

Heat 1471.58 s2:4

Heat 1570.15 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 19 → 17 °C; Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Wind: 6 km/h E; gusts up to 20 km/h; Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 56 %; Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	13	11	+2	−2
5–7	7	11	−4	+4
8–10	9	9	0	0
11–13	8	10	−2	+2
14–15	5	7	−2	+2
	TAR	GOR	TAR	GOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead TAR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+2	77 %
4	+2	73 %
5	+2	69 %
6	-2	48 %
7	-2	46 %
8	-2	48 %
9	0	56 %
10	-2	36 %
11	-4	18 %
12	-4	20 %
13	-4	14 %
14	-6	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Kenneth Bjerre	5	6.9	10	+3.1
Janusz Kołodziej	5	10.4	12	+1.6
Arkadiusz Madej	3	1.5	3	+1.5
Piotr Świderski	4	2.6	4	+1.4
Krzysztof Kasprzak	5	7.9	9	+1.1
Leon Madsen	5	8.7	9	+0.3
Matej Zagar	4	6.7	7	+0.3
Patryk Rolnicki	3	1.8	2	+0.2
Przemysław Pawlicki	5	9.3	9	-0.3
Niels Kristian Iversen	5	10.5	10	-0.5
Michael Jepsen Jensen	3	3.6	2	-1.6
Adrian Cyfer	3	2.8	1	-1.8
Bartosz Zmarzlik	5	12.4	10	-2.4
Mikkel Michelsen	5	4.9	2	-2.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 71.5868.36 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 32.0:28.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −3.77 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source