TAR vs LES

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 17, 2016 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów

Results

TAR 48 : 42 LES

TAR

9Leon Madsen3 2 3 3 213
10Mikkel Michelsen1 0 01
11Kenneth Bjerre2 3 3 3 011
12Piotr Świderski1 2 1 0 04+2
13Janusz Kołodziej3 3 3 1 313
14Patryk Rolnicki0 0 00
15Krystian Rempała3 1 2 06+1

LES

1Piotr Pawlicki2 W 02
2Tobiasz MusielakW T 11
3Grzegorz Zengota3 2 1 2 1 312+3
4Peter Kildemand0 1 2 2 1 28+2
5Nicki Pedersen2 3 2 3 2 113
6Bartosz Smektała1 1 1 14+2
7Daniel Kaczmarek2 0 02

Heat by heat

Heat 172.03 s4:2

Heat 271.55 s3:3

Heat 369.52 s3:3

Heat 471.08 s4:2

Heat 570.63 s5:1

Heat 670.96 s3:3

Heat 770.98 s2:4

Heat 871.24 s5:1

Heat 971.25 s3:3

Heat 1070.85 s4:2

Heat 1171.48 s1:5

Heat 1271.05 s3:3

Heat 1370.59 s3:3

Heat 1471.88 s3:3

Heat 1573.98 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 23 → 21 °C; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind: 16 km/h W; gusts up to 43 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting: 0.2 mm; Rain likely: a second model agrees; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 45 %; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	14	10	+4	−4
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	12	6	+6	−6
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	5	7	−2	+2
	TAR	LES	TAR	LES

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead TAR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+2	79 %
2	+2	77 %
3	+2	77 %
4	+4	83 %
5	+8	94 %
6	+8	95 %
7	+6	90 %
8	+10	98 %
9	+10	97 %
10	+12	100 %
11	+8	95 %
12	+8	98 %
13	+8	98 %
14	+8	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Leon Madsen	5	8.3	13	+4.7
Krystian Rempała	4	3.3	6	+2.7
Grzegorz Zengota	6	9.4	12	+2.6
Kenneth Bjerre	5	8.4	11	+2.6
Janusz Kołodziej	5	11.1	13	+1.9
Bartosz Smektała	4	3.1	4	+0.9
Nicki Pedersen	6	12.7	13	+0.3
Piotr Świderski	5	4.0	4	-0.0
Tobiasz Musielak	2	2.1	1	-1.1
Daniel Kaczmarek	3	3.3	2	-1.3
Patryk Rolnicki	3	2.8	0	-2.8
Mikkel Michelsen	3	4.1	1	-3.1
Peter Kildemand	6	11.4	8	-3.4
Piotr Pawlicki	3	6.1	2	-4.1

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 73.9869.52 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 33.7:27.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −2.97 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source