ZIE vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Thursday, August 25, 2016 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek3 2 3 3 314
- 10Jarosław Hampel0 1 2 3 39+2
- 11Jason Doyle2 3 3 3 213+1
- 12Andriy Karpov1 2 1 26+3
- 13Piotr Protasiewicz2 3 2 1 210+1
- 14Alex Zgardziński2 0 13+1
- 15Krystian Pieszczek3 1 04+1
- 1Kenneth Bjerre1 1 1 2 16+1
- 2Mikkel Michelsen2 0 3 0 05
- 3Leon Madsen3 2 1 2 08
- 4Piotr Świderski0 1 0 01+1
- 5Janusz Kołodziej3 3 2 1 110
- 6Patryk Rolnicki1 0 D1
- 7Arkadiusz Madej0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE3
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE2*
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1*
- Piotr Świderski · TAR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE1*
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2
- Piotr Świderski · TAR1*
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1*
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2*
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Piotr Świderski · TAR0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE1
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR0
- Jason Doyle · ZIE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TARD
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Andriy Karpov · ZIE2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1
- Piotr Świderski · TAR0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Jason Doyle · ZIE2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1
- Leon Madsen · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 25 → 17 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h E
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| ZIE | TAR | ZIE | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.9 | 14 | +3.1 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.4 | 13 | +1.6 |
| Andriy Karpov | 4 | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 9.0 | 9 | -0.0 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 10.3 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 3 | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Arkadiusz Madej | 3 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Piotr Świderski | 4 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.