TOR vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 21, 2016 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik2 1 3 3 312+1
- 10Kacper Gomolski0 2 1 25+1
- 11Chris Holder3 3 3 3 214
- 12Adrian Miedziński1 2 1 15+1
- 13Greg Hancock3 3 2 3 112+1
- 14Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński1 0 01
- 15Paweł Przedpełski3 2 3 210+2
- 1Antonio Lindbäck3 1 0 2 39
- 2Tomasz Gollob1 0 01
- 3Rafał Okoniewski2 1 0 03+1
- 4Krzysztof Buczkowski0 2 2 1 0 16
- 5Artem Laguta1 3 1 2 2 D9
- 6Marcin Nowak2 0 0 13+1
- 7Mike TrzensiokD 00
Heat by heat
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Martin Vaculik · TOR2
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU1
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Marcin Nowak · GRU2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRUD
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2
- Martin Vaculik · TOR1*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Greg Hancock · TOR2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Marcin Nowak · GRU1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Greg Hancock · TOR1
- Artem Laguta · GRUD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Rain → Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 18 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h W
- gusts up to 18 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 2.2 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 7.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 94 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TOR | GRU | TOR | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +24 | 100 % |
| 14 | +28 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.5 | 14 | +5.5 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 5.4 | 10 | +4.6 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 10.6 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 9.8 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Mike Trzensiok | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 10.6 | 9 | -1.6 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 6 | 8.9 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 4 | 6.0 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 3 | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.