TAR vs RYB
PGE Ekstraliga · Monday, August 15, 2016 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Kenneth Bjerre3 3 3 2 112+1
- 10Mikkel Michelsen0 1 2 1 04+1
- 11Leon Madsen2 3 3 2 212+1
- 12Piotr Świderski3 1 1 05
- 13Janusz KołodziejW 2 2 3 29
- 14Arkadiusz Madej3 1 04+1
- 15Patryk Rolnicki1 3 04
- 1Rune Holta1 W 3 1 3 311+1
- 2Andreas Jonsson2 2 1 2 1 19
- 3Max Fricke1 3 D 04
- 4Damian Baliński0 00
- 5Grigorij Laguta2 2 2 3 3 012
- 6Kacper Woryna2 0 0 13
- 7Robert Chmiel0 11
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB2
- Rune Holta · RYB1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR0
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Robert Chmiel · RYB0
- Piotr Świderski · TAR3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2*
- Max Fricke · RYB1
- Damian Baliński · RYB0
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR3
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB2
- Robert Chmiel · RYB1
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB2
- Piotr Świderski · TAR1
- Rune Holta · RYBW
- Max Fricke · RYB3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR1*
- Damian Baliński · RYB0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB2
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1
- Kacper Woryna · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR2*
- Rune Holta · RYB1
- Max Fricke · RYBD
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB2
- Piotr Świderski · TAR1
- Kacper Woryna · RYB0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB2
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1
- Max Fricke · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB1
- Piotr Świderski · TAR0
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB1
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1*
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 14 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h N
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 75 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TAR | RYB | TAR | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.1 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 8.8 | 12 | +3.2 |
| Arkadiusz Madej | 3 | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| Piotr Świderski | 4 | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 6 | 11.7 | 12 | +0.3 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Rune Holta | 6 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Robert Chmiel | 2 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 6 | 10.5 | 9 | -1.5 |
| Damian Baliński | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 11.6 | 9 | -2.6 |
| Kacper Woryna | 4 | 5.7 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Max Fricke | 4 | 7.2 | 4 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.