GRU vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Monday, August 15, 2016 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Antonio Lindbäck3 3 3 3 315
- 10Tomasz Gollob0 1 2 36+1
- 11Rafał Okoniewski2 2 2 1 29+2
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski1 1 3 2 18+2
- 13Artem Laguta3 3 3 1 212+1
- 14Marcin Nowak1 0 23
- 15Mateusz Rujner0 2 13+1
- 1Piotr Pawlicki1 W 2 3 M 17+1
- 2Peter Kildemand2 3 0 2 3 010
- 3Emil Sajfutdinow3 1 1 05+1
- 4Tobiasz Musielak0 2 0 13
- 5Grzegorz Zengota1 2 1 U4
- 6Bartosz Smektała3 D 03
- 7Dominik Kubera2 W 02+1
Heat by heat
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Peter Kildemand · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU1
- Mateusz Rujner · GRU0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Mateusz Rujner · GRU2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Peter Kildemand · LES3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU1
- Bartosz Smektała · LESD
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Mateusz Rujner · GRU1
- Peter Kildemand · LES0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Peter Kildemand · LES2
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Marcin Nowak · GRU2
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LES1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LESU
- Peter Kildemand · LES3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LESM
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Peter Kildemand · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 16 km/h NW
- gusts up to 31 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GRU | LES | GRU | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 8.5 | 15 | +6.5 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Peter Kildemand | 6 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Mateusz Rujner | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 4 | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Marcin Nowak | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Dominik Kubera | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 7.2 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 8.3 | 5 | -3.3 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 11.3 | 7 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.