TAR vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 31, 2016 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Leon MadsenU 1 1 W2+1
- 10Piotr ŚwiderskiD0
- 11Kenneth Bjerre3 2 2 1 1 110
- 12Mikkel MichelsenU D 3 0 1 15
- 13Janusz Kołodziej3 2 2 D 2 312
- 14Patryk Rolnicki2 0 0 02
- 15Arkadiusz Madej0 0 00
- 1Martin Vaculik3 3 3 3 214
- 2Kacper Gomolski2 1 1 15
- 3Chris Holder2 3 3 3 011
- 4Adrian Miedziński1 1 2 3 29+2
- 5Greg Hancock2 3 2 2 312+1
- 6Paweł Przedpełski3 0 25+1
- 7Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński1 1 02+1
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2
- Leon Madsen · TARU
- Piotr Świderski · TARD
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Greg Hancock · TOR2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1*
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1
- Mikkel Michelsen · TARD
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Janusz Kołodziej · TARD
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR3
- Greg Hancock · TOR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Greg Hancock · TOR2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1
- Greg Hancock · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Martin Vaculik · TOR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 25 → 23 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h S
- gusts up to 27 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 15 | −7 | +7 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 4 | 14 | −10 | +10 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TAR | TOR | TAR | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -5 | 45 % |
| 2 | -7 | 27 % |
| 3 | -7 | 32 % |
| 4 | -7 | 23 % |
| 5 | -9 | 18 % |
| 6 | -11 | 8 % |
| 7 | -11 | 5 % |
| 8 | -13 | 2 % |
| 9 | -17 | 1 % |
| 10 | -15 | 0 % |
| 11 | -17 | 1 % |
| 12 | -21 | 0 % |
| 13 | -25 | 0 % |
| 14 | -29 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 8.5 | 14 | +5.5 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.2 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 11.7 | 12 | +0.3 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 10.0 | 10 | +0.0 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 4 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 3 | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Piotr Świderski | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Arkadiusz Madej | 3 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 6 | 14.1 | 12 | -2.1 |
| Leon Madsen | 4 | 6.3 | 2 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.