GRU vs RYB
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 31, 2016 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Antonio Lindbäck2 2 0 04+1
- 10Tomasz Gollob3 1 2 2 W8+1
- 11Rafał Okoniewski3 2 2 3 111+2
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski2 3 3 3 314+1
- 13Artem Laguta3 2 3 3 D11
- 14Mike Trzensiok1 0 01
- 15Marcin Nowak3 0 25+1
- 2Damian Baliński1 1 1 03
- 3Andreas Jonsson0 1 3 1 2 18
- 4Rune Holta1 0 3 1 27
- 5Grigorij Laguta2 D D 1 1 26+2
- 6Kacper Woryna0 2 3 1 3 211+1
- 7Robert Chmiel0 1 01+1
Heat by heat
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2*
- Damian Baliński · RYB1
- Kacper Woryna · RYB0
- Marcin Nowak · GRU3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU1
- Robert Chmiel · RYB0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Rune Holta · RYB1
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB2
- Robert Chmiel · RYB1*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2*
- Damian Baliński · RYB1
- Rune Holta · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU1
- Grigorij Laguta · RYBD
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Marcin Nowak · GRU2*
- Damian Baliński · RYB1
- Grigorij Laguta · RYBD
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2
- Rune Holta · RYB1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2*
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB1
- Robert Chmiel · RYB0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2*
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB1
- Damian Baliński · RYB0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB2
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1*
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Rune Holta · RYB2
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB1*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Grigorij Laguta · RYB2*
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Andreas Jonsson · RYB1
- Artem Laguta · GRUD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 25 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 4 km/h NW
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 49 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| GRU | RYB | GRU | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 7.1 | 14 | +6.9 |
| Kacper Woryna | 6 | 5.6 | 11 | +5.4 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Marcin Nowak | 3 | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 5 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Damian Baliński | 4 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Mike Trzensiok | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Robert Chmiel | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 6 | 11.3 | 8 | -3.3 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 4 | 8.3 | 4 | -4.3 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 6 | 12.3 | 6 | -6.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.