GRU vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 21, 2015 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Artem Laguta1 3 1 3 3 D11+1
- 10Daniel JeleniewskiU0
- 11Tomasz Gollob0 2 2 3 2 312+1
- 12Rafał Okoniewski2 0 2 1 27+2
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski2 3 3 2 2 113+1
- 14Hubert LegowikT 0 00
- 15Marcin Nowak1 0 01
- 1Nicki Pedersen3 3 2 3 213+1
- 2Tomas H Jonasson2 1 1 1 05+2
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki1 2 0 03
- 4Grzegorz Zengota3 1 3 2 312+1
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow1 1 1 D3
- 6Bartosz Smektała2 0 13+1
- 7Piotr Pawlicki3 3 0 17
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRUU
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES1
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Hubert Legowik · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES1*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Artem Laguta · GRU1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · LES0
- Nicki Pedersen · LES3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Hubert Legowik · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LESD
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Tomas H Jonasson · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · LES2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Artem Laguta · GRUD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 16 → 13 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h W
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 5 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 6 | 18 | −12 | +12 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GRU | LES | GRU | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -8 | 11 % |
| 3 | -10 | 7 % |
| 4 | -12 | 10 % |
| 5 | -14 | 0 % |
| 6 | -14 | 4 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.4 | 12 | +4.6 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 6 | 9.7 | 13 | +3.3 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 6 | 9.4 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.9 | 13 | +2.1 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 5.4 | 7 | +1.6 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Marcin Nowak | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Hubert Legowik | 3 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 5 | 7.3 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 6.5 | 3 | -3.5 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 7.8 | 3 | -4.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.