TAR vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Thursday, June 4, 2015 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik3 3 3 3 315
- 10Artur Mroczka1 1 0 0 02
- 11Damian Dąbrowski00
- 12Kenneth Bjerre2 3 3 0 210+1
- 13Janusz Kołodziej3 3 2 2 010+1
- 14Arkadiusz Madej1 0 0 01
- 15Ernest Koza3 3 2 3 112+1
- 1Chris Holder2 1 0 3 1 29+1
- 2Kacper GomolskiD 2 1 14
- 3Jason Doyle1 1 2 3 3 111+2
- 4Adrian Miedziński0 2 1 25+1
- 5Grigorij LagutaD 2 2 15+1
- 6Paweł Przedpełski2 1 0 25+1
- 7Oskar FajferD 11+1
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Kacper Gomolski · TORD
- Ernest Koza · TAR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR1
- Oskar Fajfer · TORD
- Ernest Koza · TAR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2*
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Grigorij Laguta · TORD
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Damian Dąbrowski · TAR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1*
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Ernest Koza · TAR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2*
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1*
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1*
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 14 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 8 km/h N
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TAR | TOR | TAR | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Koza | 5 | 3.4 | 12 | +8.6 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.8 | 15 | +4.2 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Damian Dąbrowski | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 2 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 10.9 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Arkadiusz Madej | 4 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 7.4 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 4 | 7.6 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 4.7 | 2 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.