GRU vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Thursday, June 4, 2015 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Artem Laguta2 2 0 1 38+1
- 10Daniel Jeleniewski1 1 1 03+2
- 11Tomasz Gollob2 2 2 3 211+1
- 12Rafał Okoniewski3 1 1 2 07+2
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 2 3 112+1
- 14Mike Trzensiok1 1 02
- 15Marcin Nowak2 2 04+1
- 1Jarosław Hampel0 0 1 2 14+1
- 2Grzegorz Walasek3 3 2 3 112+1
- 3Oleksandr Loktayev1 0 2 2 27+1
- 4Krzysztof Jabłoński0 00
- 5Piotr Protasiewicz1 3 3 3 3 316
- 6Alex Zgardziński3 0 14+1
- 7Krystian PieszczekT 0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU1*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE3
- Marcin Nowak · GRU2
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Marcin Nowak · GRU2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE2
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU1*
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE0
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE2*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU1
- Artem Laguta · GRU0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE2
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE1*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU0
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2
- Alex Zgardziński · ZIE1*
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Artem Laguta · GRU1*
- Krzysztof Jabłoński · ZIE0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · ZIE2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1*
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 21 → 15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h NW
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 36 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GRU | ZIE | GRU | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 8.2 | 12 | +3.8 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 6 | 12.6 | 16 | +3.4 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 5 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Marcin Nowak | 3 | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Alex Zgardziński | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 4 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Mike Trzensiok | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 8.0 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 9.3 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Krzysztof Jabłoński | 2 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 4.6 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 11.6 | 4 | -7.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.