TOR vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 31, 2015 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Jason Doyle3 2 2 3 010
- 10Adrian Miedziński2 W 0 35+1
- 11Chris Holder2 3 3 3 213
- 12Kacper Gomolski1 1 2 26+3
- 13Grigorij Laguta3 3 1 2 312+2
- 14Oskar Fajfer2 1 14+1
- 15Paweł Przedpełski3 2 2 29+2
- 1Artem LagutaD 2 3 1 2 311
- 2Jurica Pavlic1 0 0 12
- 3Tomasz Gollob3 2 1 0 0 06
- 4Rafał Okoniewski0 00
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski1 3 3 1 1 110
- 6Marcin Nowak1 1 0 D2
- 7Mike TrzensiokW 00
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Jurica Pavlic · GRU1
- Artem Laguta · GRUD
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR2*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRUW
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1*
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR1
- Jurica Pavlic · GRU0
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Marcin Nowak · GRU1
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR1*
- Jurica Pavlic · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1
- Marcin Nowak · GRUD
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU0
- Grigorij Laguta · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Jurica Pavlic · GRU1
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Jason Doyle · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 18 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h SW
- gusts up to 38 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 32 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| TOR | GRU | TOR | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +16 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +26 | 100 % |
| 14 | +30 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.9 | 13 | +4.1 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 3 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 11.0 | 11 | +0.0 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 6 | 10.5 | 10 | -0.5 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Mike Trzensiok | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 6.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 4 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 2 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 6 | 9.5 | 6 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.