WRO vs GRU

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 10, 2015 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław

Results

WRO 63 : 27 GRU
WRO
GRU

Heat by heat

Heat 162.33 s5:1
Heat 262.41 s3:3
Heat 361.70 s4:2
Heat 462.52 s5:1
Heat 562.90 s5:1
Heat 661.50 s3:3
Heat 761.10 s4:2
Heat 861.90 s3:3
Heat 961.20 s5:1
Heat 1061.70 s5:1
Heat 1162.10 s5:1
Heat 1261.80 s2:4
Heat 1361.30 s5:1
Heat 1462.80 s4:2
Heat 1561.42 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy → Cloudy
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
16 → 14 °C
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Wind
19 km/h NW
gusts up to 55 km/h
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
1.4 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
50 %
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4177+10−10
5–7126+6−6
8–10135+8−8
11–13126+6−6
14–1593+6−6
WROGRUWROGRU

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead WRO
010203040115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+485 %
2+486 %
3+690 %
4+1098 %
5+14100 %
6+1499 %
7+16100 %
8+16100 %
9+20100 %
10+24100 %
11+28100 %
12+26100 %
13+30100 %
14+32100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Maciej Janowski58.114+5.9
Tomasz Jędrzejak57.212+4.8
Tai Woffinden510.615+4.4
Vaclav Milik43.77+3.3
Michael Jepsen Jensen46.19+2.9
Marcin Nowak43.04+1.0
Maksym Drabik44.45+0.6
Krzysztof Buczkowski610.09-1.0
Adrian Gała32.91-1.9
Mike Trzensiok22.30-2.3
Daniel Jeleniewski32.90-2.9
Rafał Okoniewski45.52-3.5
Artem Laguta613.38-5.3
Tomasz Gollob510.04-6.0

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.9061.10 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 34.3:25.0 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −1.07 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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